Folly of predicting future climate

 
Updated 1/3/2019 12:29 PM

For three decades, global warming alarmists have harassed society with stories of gloom and doom as a result of the carbon dioxide emitted into the air by the burning of fossil fuel. They are exercising precisely what prominent writer H.L. Mencken described as "the whole point of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed and hence clamorous to be led to safety by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary."

In fact, the man-caused global warming or climate change panic may well be the best hobgoblin ever conceived. It has half the world clamoring to be led to safety from climate change without a shred of physical evidence. Every single statement issued to support these fearmongering claims presented in a new 1,500-page report from 13 separate agencies of the federal government by 300 Obama-appointed scientists, has no basis in physical measurements or observations.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       
 

What they do have are mathematical equations considered to be models of the Earth's climate. However, they have only a handful of the hundreds of variables that impact climate and the numbers inserted for the arbitrarily selected variables are little more than guesses. Unfortunately, the U.S. government has financed more than 100 efforts to model our climate for the better part of three decades, with none coming close to actual results.

Consider the following: we do not know all the variables, but they are likely in the hundreds. Clouds must play a significant role in the planet's climate, yet we do not know how they work. Yet today's modelers believe they can tell you the planet's climate decades or even a century in the future and want to manage the economy accordingly. Either they are crazy to think this, or we are crazy to believe them. Perhaps both may be true.

Nancy J. Thorner

Lake Bluff

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